Toyota Valuation

TM Stock  USD 226.86  0.21  0.09%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Toyota Motor has a current Real Value of $202.65 per share. The regular price of the company is $226.86. Our model measures the value of Toyota Motor from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.07 %, shares outstanding of 1.3 B, and Return On Equity of 0.13 as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Toyota's valuation include:
Price Book
1.2036
Enterprise Value
443.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
8.0141
Price Sales
0.006
Forward PE
12.5
Overvalued
Today
226.86
Please note that Toyota's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Toyota Motor is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Toyota's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Toyota stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Toyota Motor. Since Toyota is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Toyota Stock. However, Toyota's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  226.86 Real  202.65 Target  244.23 Hype  226.77 Naive  228.51
The intrinsic value of Toyota's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Toyota's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
201.01
Downside
202.65
Real Value
249.55
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Toyota Motor helps investors to forecast how Toyota stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Toyota more accurately as focusing exclusively on Toyota's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
3.854.094.33
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
225.13226.77228.41
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
5.605.846.09
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
222.25244.23271.09
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Toyota's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Toyota's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Toyota's closest peers.

Toyota Cash

10.85 Trillion

Toyota Total Value Analysis

Toyota Motor is at this time expected to have takeover value of 443.37 B with market capitalization of 298.18 B, debt of 38.79 T, and cash on hands of 8.98 T. Please note that takeover value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting mistakes. We encourage investors to methodically examine all of the Toyota fundamentals before making investment evaluation based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
443.37 B
298.18 B
38.79 T
8.98 T

Toyota Investor Information

The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.2. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Toyota Motor has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.54. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 23.18. The firm last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2025. Toyota had 11:10 split on the 25th of June 1991. Based on the key measurements obtained from Toyota's financial statements, Toyota Motor may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.05060.0898
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities2.5 T4.3 T
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income5.8 T5.5 T
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Toyota Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Toyota has an asset utilization ratio of 51.32 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.51 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Toyota Motor is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Toyota Profitability Analysis

Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from Toyota's financial statements, Toyota Motor may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Toyota's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1988-09-30
Previous Quarter
841.3 B
Current Value
932.1 B
Quarterly Volatility
348 B
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Toyota's Gross Profit is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 1st of February 2026, Net Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.09, while Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.06.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.210.23
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.09370.0893
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.05060.0898
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.06340.12
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.02760.0458
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Return On Equity0.07010.12
Way Down
Pretty Stable
For Toyota profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Toyota Motor to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Toyota utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Toyota's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Toyota over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Toyota Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Toyota is estimated to be 4.094425 with future projections ranging from a low of 3.854 to a high of 4.334875. Toyota's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 23.18. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Toyota Motor is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Toyota is projected to generate 4.094425 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Toyota earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Toyota EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Toyota's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Toyota, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Toyota Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Toyota's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Toyota is estimated to be 4.094425 with the future projection ranging from a low of 3.854 to a high of 4.334875. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Toyota Motor is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
50.87
3.85
Lowest
Expected EPS
4.094425
4.33
Highest

Toyota Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Toyota's value are higher than the current market price of the Toyota stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Toyota is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Toyota's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
352.32%
50.87
4.094425
23.18

Toyota Ownership Allocation

Toyota Motor shows a total of 1.3 Billion outstanding shares. About 98.2 % of Toyota outstanding shares are held by general public with 1.8 % by institutional holders. On April 13, 2022, Representative Earl Blumenauer of US Congress acquired $15k to $50k worth of Toyota Motor's common stock.

Toyota Profitability Analysis

The company generated the yearly revenue of 48.04 T. Reported Net Income was 4.79 T with gross profit of 8.87 T.

Toyota Past Distributions to stockholders

About Toyota Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Toyota Motor. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Toyota Motor based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Toyota's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Toyota's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Toyota. We calculate exposure to Toyota's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Toyota's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit11 T11.6 T
Pretax Profit Margin 0.12  0.06 
Operating Profit Margin 0.09  0.05 
Net Profit Margin 0.09  0.09 
Gross Profit Margin 0.23  0.21 

Toyota Quarterly Retained Earnings

37.06 Trillion

Toyota's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Toyota's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Toyota can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Toyota represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Toyota, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Toyota Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Toyota's Dividends Paid is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 1st of February 2026, Dividend Yield is likely to grow to 0.03, while Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to drop 0.18. . At this time, Toyota's Retained Earnings are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 1st of February 2026, Earnings Yield is likely to grow to 0.13, while Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 7.95.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid1.3 T1.4 T
Dividend Yield 0.03  0.03 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.21  0.18 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.70  1.19 
There are various types of dividends Toyota can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Toyota shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Toyota Motor directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Toyota pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Toyota by the value of the dividends paid out.

Toyota Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Toyota does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.665
Forward Price Earnings12.5

Toyota Current Valuation Indicators

Toyota's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Toyota's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Toyota, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Toyota's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Toyota's worth.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Toyota Motor. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Will Automobile Manufacturers sector continue expanding? Could Toyota diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toyota. If investors know Toyota will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Toyota data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.665
Dividend Share
95
Earnings Share
23.18
Revenue Per Share
2.4 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.082
Toyota Motor's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Toyota's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Toyota's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Toyota's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toyota's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toyota is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toyota's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.